Based Capital Blog

The Black Monday That Couldn’t

I do not want to place the wagon in front of the horses here — but what was supposed to be a Monday of the blackened varietal turned out to be sanguine, generating portfolio gains of 0.5%. There was wanton selling, again, in many of the tech names and for good reason. A good friend […]

On the Matter of OB/OS and 2022 Tape

I have been spending my morning reviewing each trading session of 2022, crossed against the SL overbought/oversold signals and have concluded several things. It’s also worth noting, 2022 was an abysmal year for stocks — akin to any of the worst tapes in recent history. The idea of us having to dive into yet another […]

The Ides of March

I am seeing double now, due to a vision doctor appointment. I have always had 20/10 vision, until recently I’ve been bedraggled by morning blurriness — part and parcel of growing older. The doctor said I have 20/25 vision, but might need readers for distance. On the issue of seeing, I did not of course […]

The Trump Minefield

I watched volume flows pretty closely today and for the entire session — money was flowing liberally into defensive names — the sort of stuff we have been buying the last few weeks. Those are all up. It is the growth portion of the market that continues to get dragged — all due to tariffs […]