At this point in the economic cycle, investors seem much more concerned with growth than AI, lending credence to this narrative is how this morning’s rally dissipated once today’s ISM data came out a little worse than expected. The net result was bond yields up and stocks soft. Altanta’s GDPNOW also revised their GDP estimate...Read More

Atlanta’s GDPNOW has revised its GDP estimates to contract by 1.5% for Q1 2025, a major revision downward, based on waning consumer demand/Trump policies. The market is less interested in DeepSeek now, more focused on whether or not the economy can keep chugging forward in light of the headwinds. Here is GDPNOW’s forecasts and results....Read More

Today we saw a late day ripper led by all of the right stocks and I found it to be extremely conducive with potential continuation on Monday. It was looking very dicey early going and we placed ~10% hedges on to protect against a flushout. I want to emphasize how close I felt we were...Read More

Lots to touch upon. One thing I want to highlight is the fact that every time markets are up and look good, Trump appears on the teevee to remind us of his favorite word in the dictionary: ‘tariff.’ It turns out, we are in the crossfire of a campaign that is designed to decimate investor...Read More

In light of recent market volatility, I have been actively trading inverse ETFs in order to hedge. About 53 of you do not have margin agreements on file, which makes it difficult to trade without restrictions being placed. If you wouldn’t mind, please access your Schwab accounts and submit one. If you need assistance, email...Read More